February 25, 2006
It seems extremely likely that (or here) the
attack on the religious shine at Samarra was the work of those
attempting to cause a civil war in Iraq leading to its destruction as a
unified country. An eyewitness report confirms
Americans were in control of the area when the bombs were set. That
would be American troops operating on behalf of the American neocons,
who, despite some recent setbacks, are proceeding with their original
Israeli plan without interruption. Iraqi Shi'ites would hardly blow up
their own shine (nor would the Shi'ite Iranians, who in addition like
the way things are going in Iraq without this added complication),
Sunnis wouldn't do it because they would be aware of the retaliation it
would cause, and, despite some warblogger opinion, it is not al Qaeda's
style to attack a Muslim shrine. The insurgency wants to remove the
occupiers, and this attack just strengthens the occupiers, who of
course can't leave while the Iraqis are in so obviously incapable of
looking after themselves. That leaves the Israelamericans, who have the
characteristics of being capable of doing the deed, being the only
group that benefits from it, and having security forces in the area
(means, motive, and opportunity). There is nobody in Iraq or the Middle
East who doesn't know who really was behind the attack.
The most telling incident wasn't the attack itself, but the execution
of a group of Iraqis, Sunnis and Shi'ites, who were driving to attend a
rally of national reconciliation. There were intercepted on the road by
people who set up a fake checkpoint outside of Baghdad, pulled from
their cars, and summarily slaughtered. The provoking incident and the
violent prevention of positive Iraqi steps to prevent civil war are
part of the same conspiracy. Who would want to stop reconciliation?
More pointedly, who uniquely has the ability to identify the
reconciliation group, and immediately mobilize to block the road? The
combination of technical ability and desire to stop reconciliation
points to only one group, the neocon operators in Iraq and their allies
in the Iraqi government. The Yinon plan - one also favored by parts of the American establishment including Leslie Gelb - of breaking Israel's possible enemies into small, unthreatening statelets, continues.
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